What Is the Business Conditions Index?

The Business Conditions Index is an index that the Cabinet Office compiles and publishes by combining various economic activity indicators, such as production and employment, to gauge the current state of the economy and identify turning points.

What the Indicator Shows

The Business Conditions Index is made up of three types of index: the "leading index," which moves ahead of the economy; the "coincident index," which moves roughly in step with the economy; and the "lagging index," which moves after the economy. Each is calculated by combining multiple economic statistics and is used as material for grasping the current state of the economy and its turning points.

How to Read It, and What to Watch Out For

The Business Conditions Index is a fact-based indicator that aggregates economic activity from the past up to the present — it does not predict or guarantee future economic conditions or stock price movement. It is used as one of several materials for comprehensively grasping the state of the economy alongside other economic statistics.

This article is provided for general informational purposes only and does not recommend or solicit the purchase or sale of any specific investment method or security. Final investment decisions are your own responsibility.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the difference between the leading, coincident, and lagging indices?
The leading index is calculated from indicators that move ahead of the economy (such as new job openings), the coincident index from indicators that move roughly in step with the economy (such as the index of industrial production), and the lagging index from indicators that move after the economy (such as the unemployment rate).
Who publishes the Business Conditions Index?
In Japan, it is published monthly by the Cabinet Office.